Mike Folkerth - King of Simple

Western Colorado’s own Humorist / Economist

It’s That Math Again:

Good Morning Middle America, your King of Simple News is on the air.

Remember some time ago when that bonehead “The King of Simple” predicted that Starbucks would get in big trouble? Starbucks was based on the model of selling $1.00 coffee for $4.00 to the mathematically challenged. Starbucks is now closing 600 stores and laying off 12,000 employee’s. How could such a well thought out business plan go astray?

There are thousands of businesses in the U.S. that have a similar business plan to Starbucks. Similar in that they can only exist in a particular economic climate, a time when there is loads of discretionary income available to the mathematically challenged. Which pretty much means everyone in the U.S. if world math scores are an indication.

Fancy bottled water, high end antique shops, and exclusive boutiques will fall in line with Starbucks decline. Tap water, consumer goods auction houses and thrift shops will take their place, just as go-cups from home are taking Starbucks place.

How do I know? I had a front row seat for that movie the last time it was showing and even stayed for the credits. I have had three people call in a week asking about retail space to put in a shop to sell used merchandise.

My wife was talking to our friend who owns a real estate title company and she told Cathy about a great second hand clothing store that recently opened and who handles quality clean pressed clothing at a fraction of new. She and my wife plan to visit the store next week.

I was a fast talker who dealt in other peoples merchandise for years…an auctioneer. We watched our crowds for general merchandise dwindle away to the point that we could no longer accept clothing, dated furniture, or canning jars. New was available on credit, rent to own came into vogue, style trumped common sense and, why can, they sell that stuff at the grocery. It made me sick.

Today, don’t stand in front of the canning jars when they come up for bid, you might get trampled. Ain’t we something?

An old businessman told me years ago that, “More businesses go broke during good times than ever do during bad times.” He went on to explain that they don’t really go broke during good times, they set themselves up to go broke and then when the economy takes a tick down, down is the direction that they go.

Acceptance, complacency, and lack of innovation are all prevalent during a lucrative business cycle. Acceptance, that not only can you sell a dollar cup of coffee for four dollars, but acceptance that it will go on forever. Complacency in that high costs can be absorbed by raising prices, after all, they went for the four bucks didn’t they? Lack of innovation to constantly monitor and change the business model to fit the economic circumstances, polishes off the perfect setup for business failure.

Fortunately we don’t practice these dumb tactics at home. Of course we don’t. The mega home with the mega mortgage; after all homes always go up in value as do wages. The new twin SUVs parked in the three car garage next to the new boat; hey, you only go around once.

You get the picture, we set ourselves up during the good times to a point that we can’t weather any bad times. And, why should we weather any bad times? Our newest political candidates assure us that not only is it not our fault, he or she will fix our ills just as soon as we elect them.

It’s up to each of us to run our own lives as we see fit. Having the freedom to do so is a choice that is guaranteed by our Constitution. There is no place in that Constitution that guarantee’s to save us from our own poor choices. And that includes poor choices at the voting booth.

 
Comments
1.
On July 3rd, 2008 at 9:22 am, Billyb said:

It would be interesting to see your voting card come November. I know it will not include Obama or McCain. If others; many others, will see the potential of taking this path, things just may begin to turn around. Regardless, it is up to us to do the right things on our own. Makes it that much easier to do the right things at the polls. -bb

2.
On July 3rd, 2008 at 11:21 am, WmA said:

I agree with Billyb.. Neither Dem, or GOP will improve anything.. It won’t make any difference who you vote for.. We have a two party system, so you will never get a choice of a candidate who will make a real change for the better.. Under the present circumstances, I think that hoping for a third party candidate is wishful thinking.. Possibly not voting is the best choice.. Refuse to choose between bad, and worse.. WmA..

3.
On July 3rd, 2008 at 1:23 pm, Gila said:

It came to me the other day how many Americans have come to follow the lead of our elected officials; operating in a less than honorable manner, using their right to be as good a liar as possible, using deception in place of truth, letting greed dominate their waking hours, etc.

A friend of mine sent the following to me this morning that pretty much addresses this problem and offers some insight to what is or should be truly important in our lives:

“People are often unreasonable, illogical, and self-centered;
Forgive them anyway.
If you are kind,
people may accuse you of selfish ulterior motives;
Be kind anyway.
If you are successful,
you will win some false friends and some true enemies;
Succeed anyway.
If you are honest and frank,
people may cheat you;
Be honest and frank anyway.
What you spend years building,
someone could destroy overnight.
Build anyway.
If you find serenity and happiness,
they may be jealous;
Be happy anyway.
The good you do today,
people will often forget tomorrow;
Do good anyway.
Give the world the best you have,
and it may never be enough;
Give the best you’ve got anyway.
You see, in the final analysis
it is between you and God;
it was never between you and them anyway.”

4.
On July 3rd, 2008 at 2:02 pm, Mike Folkerth said:

Understanding that our choices and lifestyle are our own to make, is important. Protecting the freedom that allows us to make those choices is even more important.

The June jobs report shows that 62,000 more people lost their jobs, that makes 6 consecutive months of negative job numbers.

It was stated by a Merrill Lynch analyst that bankruptcy is not out of the question for GM. Clinging to the belief that everything is going to come up roses once we get past this tough spot, is crazy, but many believe exactly that.

It’s time to take action on our own and retreat to a more sustainable lifestyle. Doing so while we have options is the preferable course.

5.
On July 3rd, 2008 at 5:23 pm, mickster said:

So, where is this second hand store located that Cathy’s going to visit?

Wifemate Karen went to the Rose in Hotchkiss yesterday in prep for her coming days of torture and picked up three great soft, comfortable, loose fitting dresses and a couple of shirts for $22.18, and that included tax.

Ciao!

The Mickster

For yee of little faith…the Irishman Barack O’Bama will indeed lead us out of this economic darkness.

6.
On July 4th, 2008 at 7:56 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Mickster,

That’s the one, ol’ Second Hand Rose.

I say hear, hear for the Irishman, and there does seem to be light ahead…uh-oh, I think it’s the glow from Rome burning.

7.
On July 4th, 2008 at 8:05 pm, hayesml47 said:

Hey Mike! Just think of all the road rage and other violence that will occur when the Starbuckees cannot get their morning fixes! I cannot believe the lines at Starbucks in the morning and the number of irratible people in them. I think we may experience the greatest plague of DT’s in the history of addictive beverages. I am certainly glad I do not have to drive in rush hour traffic anymore. I wonder if the coffee high is why they call it “rush” hour? Have yourself a good one Mike!

8.
On July 4th, 2008 at 8:25 pm, Mike Folkerth said:

Hi Michael,

No rush hour for this guy any longer. Lowes and Home Depot are both in big trouble. Massive overhead and the reliance of consumer credit will be their undoing under the present circumstances.

Those who are waiting for the election to make everything take off again, need to go see the wizard. Ol’ Wiz has some bad news for them.

Mentions on other sites...
  1. antique canning jars on August 3rd, 2008 at 2:14 pm
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