Mike Folkerth - King of Simple

Western Colorado’s own Humorist / Economist

Invest In Yourself:

Good Morning America, it’s Friday one more time, and as summer slips away I can’t help but think that the winter of 2008-2009 will memorable for all the wrong reasons. The government jobs report came in worse than expected with 85,000 additional Americans losing their employment. This marks the eighth straight month of there staggering loses.

I’m amazed that some economists continue to say that the U.S. is not in recession and perhaps we will avoid a recession altogether. I have an announcement for all of those no-recession folks, “Earth to economists, that brown bottle that you have been sipping is not medicine.”

The normal winter slowdown will continue to add to job loses, as will the much higher costs of everyday living; thank you Mr. Bernanke. We are in fact in, and have been in, recession. But some people just don’t get it and that’s because they still have a job or a trust fund.

I hear the stock market pundits pleading for investors and saying such things as “When we are in a Bear Market, people don’t need a good excuse to sell.” Let me translate that into English, “We need more sheep to shear down here on Wall Street and they’re not cooperating.”

How healthy has the stock market been? Had you invested in the general market 10 years ago, adjusted for inflation, you would be a loser today. Sounds like a deal to me. When the market gurus say, “Invest for the long term,” what they really mean is, “Invest in my long term.”

For the average person, the stock market is a rigged gambling game. In the game of craps, the term “betting the come” means betting on a winner on the next roll. There is a guy at the craps table called the “croupier” who has a crooked stick. When you don’t win (which is mostly) he reaches out with the crooked stick and rakes in your money.

In the stock market, there are lots of guys and girls at the table with colorful names such as trader’s, brokers, fund mangers, portfolio managers and so on who have crooked hands. Whether the stocks come up winners or losers, they reach in with their crooked hands and rake off some of your money. This is where the saying came from, “I can’t win for losing.”

Now let’s play pretend and say that ten years ago, during the same time that the stock market was stealing…okay, losing your money, that you had been foolish enough to invest in yourself. In some foolhardy delusional moment you had determined that you would pay down your home by putting your former “investment money” into accelerated home payments.

Did I hear someone say, “What? If I had put my investment money into my house, I wouldn’t have a tax write-off or a retirement income. Are you some kind of nut job?”

I have been accused of being a little close to the line, but nuts? Nah. First of all, until such time that the tax rate reaches 101%, interest paid out constitutes some level of lose. In other words, you have to pay 100% of the interest to get part of it back. Bad, bad trade.

Secondly, putting money down on your own home is a guaranteed return. Every dollar that you pay on principal is a dollar that you are not paying interest against. Had you put both the house payment and your investment money into your home for ten years, it would have been paid for, lock, stock and barrel.

Today, you would have the equivalent of your total house payment as discretionary income. Had you put your money in the stock market at the same time, you would have actually lost money and your broker could have paid his or her house off. Who are you working for anyway? Invest in yourself.

In my book, I chronicle the real fact (with all the numbers) that smart choices on a home and auto can allow a person to retire on those savings alone! Seem impossible? If you have not read my book, I offer it to my blog readers at a discount. Just e-mail your address to me by clicking the “the book” button at the top of this site.

What if you don’t like the book? Well, I’ll send your money back of course. I didn’t write the book to make money, I wrote the book to try and help you to live simple and live well.

 
Comments
1.
On September 5th, 2008 at 3:54 pm, Greg said:

Excellent advise; and timely too. Do it now!

The news is frightening; first the government bails out Bear Stearns, then Fannie and Freddie, plus umpteen banks. And by all accounts, there are a lot more banks and investment houses that will want bail outs. The Big Three is sending an army of lobbyists to Washington asking for $25 billion in loans at below market rates and up to five years without payments. Today, it was revealed that the Federal Highway Trust Fund will be broke by the end of the month, they need a $8 billion bail out too.

We know neither party will raise taxes. So how do you pay for all of this? Simple, print more money! Can you think of any way this won’t trigger hyperinflation? I can’t.

As the Mogambo Guru might say…Yow! We are friggin’ doomed! Look out for #1.

2.
On September 5th, 2008 at 5:25 pm, Mike Folkerth said:

Hi Greg,

If all of this weren’t so serious it would be excellent material for Comic Last Standing.

Thousands have turned to millions, millions to billions and billions to trillions in a very short time.

I can’t miss an opportunity to remind everyone that a trillion seconds in time, equals 34,000 years!

The graphs that I ran in yesterdays article were all telling. Imagine what they will look like in five years.

There are lots of news items that suggest that Europe is nearing recession and that China is going to slow down on lending us money.

Can I see any other way than hyperinflation? No, never could.

3.
On September 6th, 2008 at 6:07 am, WmA said:

Mentioning those “bail outs”.. That is only what they release to the news.. As far as I know the Fed can choose to keep it’s transactions from the news.. They only report to congress, and of course, congress won’t ask the what they don’t want known..
BTW, I believe the Big Three are asking for fifty billion, not twenty five.. WmA..

4.
On September 6th, 2008 at 7:54 am, Greg said:

WmA; I believe you are correct, the Fed doesn’t need to divulge any more than they want to. As for Congress, not asking what they don’t want to know, you are clearly right on that one.

All of this inidcates that our situation is much worse than we are lead to believe.

I hadn’t heard about the auto makers asking for $50 billion, but it wouldn’t surprise me. Is it just my bias against the media, or were the articles about the auto makers asking for a taxpayer bailout played down? It seems to me that Brittney Spears gets more publicity.

5.
On September 6th, 2008 at 8:14 am, Mike Folkerth said:

I haven’t seen an actual number so far that the auto companies are seeking in loans.

The Fannie and Freddie takeover will certainly cost the taxpayers billions…but so does the space program and the new missiles being placed in Poland.

We have allowed our Federal Government to become so powerful that we are totally dependent on them. In other words, everything is going as planned; centrally planned.

Central Government was the greatest fear that our Founders had. Yet we have allowed our federal leaders to go so far beyond the bounds of their original and Constitutional charge that it may prove impossible to reel them in.

The only possibility of doing so would be a true reform party coming to power. Fat chance.

I remain amazed at the ignorance of treating the symptoms of a failing economy rather than the actual cause. Please refer back to the charts on yesterdays article.

6.
On September 6th, 2008 at 8:46 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Have any of you noticed that emergencies like Fannie and Freddie, Bear Stearn’s, Bank failures, etc. etc. come on the week-end after the markets close?

Silver State Bank went under yesterday afternoon with banks in Nevada and Arizona. It was the 11th bank failure this year that is draining the FDIC.

Oh, did I tell you that if you are paying taxes, that you are a co-signer for the FDIC? Just thought that you would want to know.

7.
On September 6th, 2008 at 8:56 pm, Greg said:

Mike,

You wrote….we have allowed our Federal Government to become so powerful that we are totally dependent on them. In other words, everything is going as planned; centrally planned.

This all sounds a bit reminiscent of the former Soviet Union (FSU). They had a massive government, everything was centrally planned. It was inefficient and hopelessly corrupt. It was run for the benefit of a vanishingly small number of people at the expense of the many. Never mind how it was supposed to work. The FSU was an oil exporter and heavily dependent upon that revenue; as oil prices collapsed in the 80’s they were also deeply entangled in a costly war in Afghanistan. We know what happened to them.

As you noted, we have a massive Federal government with central planning, more than we care to know. It is inefficient and hopelessly corrupt, it is run for the benefit of a few, at the expense of the many. We are entangled in not one, but two wars in the Middle East. We are an oil importer and the price of oil is skyrocketing. Guess what happens next.

How ironic, what goes around comes around.

8.
On September 7th, 2008 at 8:04 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Greg,

There is an eerie resemblance to be sure.

It appears that Fannie and Freddie may actually be taken over by the government as early as today. Should that occur, it will the greatest single transfer of debt in American history.

The liability of the American taxpayer will increase significantly, shouldering all future losses.

We have become so hardened (or ignorant) to catastrophic financial news that we scarcely notice. “Hey, did you see that Silver State Bank failed on Friday?” “I sure did. Do you know what time the Colt’s play on Sunday?”

9.
On September 7th, 2008 at 8:40 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Wma was correct. Here is the latest headline.

“Auto industry allies hope to secure up to $50 billion in government loans this month that would pay to modernize plants and help struggling car makers build more fuel-efficient vehicles.”

Hey, the more the merrier, we may as well go down in style.

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