Mike Folkerth - King of Simple

Western Colorado’s own Humorist / Economist

Show-Stoppers; Part 5


Good Morning all of you free thinkers out there; your King of Simple News is on the air.

Continuing with my Show-Stopper series this morning, I’m reminded that most people seem to have a mental block when it comes to considering just where employment materializes from. The average person doesn’t believe that it’s possible for the labor force to grow larger than the job base in the United States. But then, the King of Simple readers aren’t the average people because the average person doesn’t read!

Since writing this Show-Stopper series, I now believe that employment is in fact the element that will effectively bring down the tent.

 

EMPLOYMENT:

The basis for the United States economy and also the source of the underlying tax collection is stable employment. In the back to back years of 1994 and 1995, President William Jefferson Clinton signed first the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and then the World Trade Organization Agreement (WTO) into law. The promise was world prosperity; the reality was the guaranteed loss of the most important Middle Class jobs in America and the eventual loss of Middle America itself. In keeping party line politics at bay here, it is important to realize that both Bush Presidencies supported NAFTA and the WTO.

The suggested method for arriving at global prosperity was for the U.S. to shift from an agricultural and manufacturing basis to that of a “service economy.” Unfortunately for Middle America, there is no such thing as a service economy. Rather than reap the suggestive status of lounging around the pool drinking banana daiquiri’s, Middle America has now found themselves, cleaning the pool and serving the drinks.

It is important to realize that jobs are not simply created out of thin air to match our growing population and the increasing need for tax collection. “Real jobs materialize by filling real needs; not from the social whims of mortal man aimed at producing unlimited growth.” ― Mike Folkerth

“Most employment now is merely pushing paper around. The actual work needed to keep a stable society running is a very small fraction of available manpower.” ― Dr. M. King Hubbert, American Geophysicist, October 5, 1903 – October 11, 1989

Acting contrary to sound economics, the entry into NAFTA and the WTO sought to “level the global playing field.” The entire proposal of competing with nations whose workers average incomes are 60 times less than those of their American counterparts was delusional. The scheme amounted to nothing more than greater profits for American Corporations and provided a legal exit for our elite to escape the fate of our failed growth economy. Middle America had plainly outgrown their usefulness in a developing and mobile global economy.

Unfortunately, the jobs were gone long before the reality of the situation was realized. A false tech boom that collapsed in 2000, followed by a phony housing bubble that folded in 2007, masked the true consequences of globalization for the period of time necessary to accomplish the wholesale destruction of base Middle Class employment.

At the same time, export nations with near slave labor, few labor laws, little to no environmental controls, and top down governments; benefited immensely. To such a degree in fact, that Communist China has now become our primary lender.

Had it been suggested not so long ago that Communist China would be loaning the most powerful nation on earth the money to continue to tread water, the proposal would have been laughable. We now understand that there is nothing funny about it.

China, India, South Korea, and other low cost export nations have benefited tremendously from both the American job losses and greatest U.S. trade deficits in our history. Interestingly enough, Japan and South Korea are fast becoming the new victims of a world where cheap labor is king.

At the same time that America is losing jobs by the millions, we are simultaneously incurring the greatest amount of debt creation in the history of this nation. To repay that debt will require increases in tax collection beyond anything ever experienced in our nation’s history.  

To increase tax collection to this new level would necessarily require job creation at a pace that will not only put the millions of currently unemployed and underemployed back to work at higher wages, but at the same time, it would also be essential to experience additional job growth at hyper levels. Remember, “Real jobs materialize by filling real needs; not from the social whims of mortal man aimed at producing unlimited growth.”  

Bear in mind, we couldn’t pay our previous debts while at full employment. We are now simply and shamelessly supporting our prosperity by borrowing against our children’s futures.

 All attempts to reduce the deficit, balance the budget, or pay off the national debt are futile. The deficit and the national debt represent the subsidy the government has paid in its attempt to keep growth and unemployment at the level of social tolerance” ― Robert L. Hickerson, March 1, 1995

Another sobering reality that has materialized from our so called “service and information economy,” is the very real and easily verifiable fact that nearly 50% of Americans today no longer have sufficient income to be required to pay income taxes. This means that we certainly can’t count on that half of the folks to help us out with the tax collection problem stated above.

It also means that fully half of Americans have little or no disposable income (income left over after paying for the essentials) to spend into the greater economy. This group of non-taxpaying people continues to grow in numbers by leaps and bounds. We have reached the sad statistic, where through transfer of wealth, the lower 60% of the population now own only 4% of total American wealth. The bottom 40% own less than 1% of the wealth! Wealth disparities of this magnitude are absolutely unsustainable in a free market economy.

The only three sectors of our economy that have grown over the past few years are education, medical care, and government. Note the commonality of these three growth sectors; all are tax based.

The president’s new economic plan calls for unprecedented growth in all three of the above mentioned sectors, which would then necessarily anticipate unprecedented tax collection to support that growth.

Add to this the reality that the combination of legal and illegal immigration adds a conservative 1.6 Million new job seekers to our already jobless society each and every year. These newcomers then compete against the current millions who are unemployed and underemployed. The dog is now in full pursuit of his tail.

There is yet another issue that will continue to affect employment in the United States, that of technical innovation. The combination of continual labor reducing technology, coupled with tariff free world trade, has thrust the United States well beyond the potential for maximum viable employment.

It is my stated opinion that the U.S. will never again realize full employment while at the same time attempting to pursue the false economic promise of globalization. This possibility is further challenged by the constraints of a so called “service and information economy” that constantly experiences elevated job competition through liberal immigration policies and a surplus global workforce. You can write that on the wall.

So the question for this section, while considering the above facts, is, “From where will the real job growth materialize that could possibly drive our economy and job base to the necessary hyper levels?”

“The promise of competing in the global economy is a hoax perpetrated upon the working and unemployed people of this country because over time a nation needs to buy and sell overseas in roughly equivalent amounts. Increasingly desperate means will be used by those who think we can continue to have business as usual.” Robert L. Hickerson ― in a paper published March 1, 1995

 

 
Comments
1.
On July 6th, 2009 at 7:58 am, Billyb said:

“From where will the real job growth materialize that could possibly drive our economy and job base to the necessary hyper levels?”

The real job growth will not happen, that simple. And if we could obtain a magic wand to make this impossibility take place, resource exhaustion would stop the whole thing in less than 20 years for good. Like in forever.

The engine has already come off the airplane. The survivors of the crash had better quit beliving in Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny (keynesian economics) and educate themselves in the fatally flawed concept of exponential growth, anything, if they possess any desire to enjoy the coming days. -bb

2.
On July 6th, 2009 at 9:23 am, ClydeB said:

Great post, Mike.
I recall a discussion in High School about 1951-52, that centered around the prospect of meaningful jobs not existing for the growing world population. The class consensus was that sooner or later jobs would have to be ‘created’. Our vision at the time was similar to the one where artisians, such as the wealthy in Europe supported, would be the most likely scheme to develop. Never in the discussions did the extreme notion develop that the nation would be so deep in debt that instead of supporting the arts, it could not even make ends meet.
I still have hope that we’ll come to our senses on the expanded use of nuclear energy, since energy is the keystone of any hope for recovery.
I have the faint hope that some brilliant researcher will discover how to break the hydrogen-oxygen bond economically and develop that limitless energy supply before it is too late. If I were calling the shots, this effort would get the level of attention that the Manhatten Project or the Space Program got.

3.
On July 6th, 2009 at 11:35 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Billyb said, “And if we could obtain a magic wand to make this impossibility take place, resource exhaustion would stop the whole thing in less than 20 years for good.”

If everyone could understand this simple but true statement, there would be panic in the streets.

4.
On July 6th, 2009 at 11:46 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Clyde,

Good comments.

Can you imagine where we would be today had the money and time spent on the space program been directed at the known problem of exponential growth? And yet, just the opposite is true; our leadership PROMOTES exponential growth!

Oil is so important to us for so many things other than energy that the list is nearly endless. Clean air, water, iron ore, copper, fertile soil, etc. etc. must all be taken into consideration.

I wrote the show-stoppers to demonstrate that even with solving the energy issues, a 180 degree paradigm shift is necessary to create a sustainable environment. We must jettison the platform of exponential growth.

5.
On July 6th, 2009 at 12:20 pm, ClydeB said:

So right, Mike.
However, we must have a reliable supply of energy to enable the population to survive while we turn things around. Doesn’t that sound shocking? Enable the population to survive!!!

Even the ’sensible’ ecoomists, such as Stephen Moore and Art Laffer, suscribe to the growth at any cost theory. They concenrate their efforts on tax reduction.

I know of no presidential advisor who has a clue about the real problem with the growth philosophy.

I read a comment, by one of the campaigners for Obama to produce his birth certificate, who speculated that a recall campaign for members of Congress based on their failure to properly investigate his eligibility, would get results. Might work on the growth issue as well since their job is paramount.

6.
On July 6th, 2009 at 1:29 pm, whenry912 said:

I have a solution for the job and energy issue.

I call it “Operation Treadmill”

Anyone who does not have a viable job is issued a government treadmill complete with a big screen TV attached to the front. You are required to do 6 hours a day on the treadmill to receive you government handout. Energy created will be pumped back into the electrical grid.

This will solve:

Employment problem… don’t want to work? No problem, just provide energy

No more overweight welfare recipients

Lower cost Medicaid, as the recipients will be far healthier

6 hour a day access to media propaganda

If you choose to not accept the education provided for you by the state for free, drop out after 6th grade and become a professional Treadmiller, no more needless expenditures on education for folks who don’t want it anyway.

Think either party will add my plan to their platform?

7.
On July 6th, 2009 at 2:28 pm, Mike Folkerth said:

Clyde, I don’t play down your stated importance of energy in any manner. And yes, survive is a shocking word.

We need more men and women of science in high level leadership roles, but so long as the person who tells “The Biggest Lie Ever Believed,” is the one who wins elections…

8.
On July 6th, 2009 at 2:39 pm, Mike Folkerth said:

William Henry,

I’m sure that most folks have forgotten Reagan’s “Workfare,” program. As governor of California, a law was passed in 1988 (Family Support Act) that required able bodied people to work a minimum of 16 hours per week doing public or private sector work to qualify for benefits.

Reagan’s thrust was that it is the obligation of the parents to support themselves and their families and not the government. What a loopy idea huh? Self responsibility.

9.
On July 7th, 2009 at 3:33 am, hutch8of9 said:

Basic natures do not change. It is the nature of life to strive for growth and sustained growth always has an exponential function.

Other things that haven’t changed
August 18. 1776 John to Abigail Adams

I have seen in this World, but a little of that pure flame of Patriotism, which certainly burns in some Breasts. There is much of the Ostentation and Affectation of it. I have known a few who could not bear to entertain a selfish design, nor to be suspected by others of such a Meanness. But these are not the most respected by the World. A Man must be selfish, even to acquire great Popularity. He must grasp for himself, under specious Pretences, for the public Good, and he must attach himself to his Relations, Connections and Friends, by becoming a Champion for their Interests, in order to form a Phalanx, about him for his own defence; to make them Trumpeters of his Praise, and sticklers for his Fame, Fortune, and Honour

Sept 2nd 1813 John Adams to Thomas Jefferson
The five Pillars of Aristocracy, are Beauty Wealth, Birth, Genius and Virtues. Any one of the three first, can at any time over bear any one or both of the two last.
Let me ask again, what a Wave of publick Opinion, in favour of Birth has been spread over the Globe, by Abraham, by Hercules, by Mahomet, by Guelphs, Ghibellines, Bourbons, and a miserable Scottish Chief Steuart? By Zingis by, by, by, a million others? And what a Wave will be spread by Napoleon and by Washington? Their remotest Cousins will be sought and will be proud, and will avail themselves of their descent. Call this Principle, Prejudice, Folly Ignorance, Baseness, Slavery, Stupidity, Adulation, Superstition or what you will. I will not contradict you. But the Fact, in natural, moral, political and domestic History I cannot deny or dispute or question.
And is this great Fact in the natural History of Man? This unalterable Principle of Morals, Philosophy, Policy domestic felicity, and dayly Experience from the Creation; to be overlooked, forgotten neglected, or hypocritically waived out of Sight; by a Legislator? By a professed Writer upon civil Government, and upon Constitutions of civil Government?

10.
On July 7th, 2009 at 7:07 am, Mike Folkerth said:

Hutch,
Adams said, “to be overlooked, forgotten neglected, or hypocritically waived out of Sight; by a Legislator?”

Ah yes, the power vested in those who we send in our stead to do our bidding is instead usurped to do their own bidding.

Human nature is not a treatable disease and the ugliest traits of human nature are eventually disputed in war.

Mentions on other sites...
  1. Show-Stoppers; Part 5 · Real-Estate-Investing.ExplainedOnline.Net on July 6th, 2009 at 8:12 am
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