Looking Back:
Good Morning all of you bright minds out there; your King of Simple News is on the air.
In order that no one can say that I’m riding comrade Obama unfairly over the Republicans, and, at the same time, to clarify how we arrived at this ugly juncture, I’m posting up a portion of a piece that I wrote in 2007.
Let’s take a very short stroll down history lane, shall we? After the dot-com-tech bubble burst in 2000, the U.S. economy was down on its knees. Along came 9-11-01 and rolled it over on its back.
What should our leadership have done? My opinion; we should have given up on this make believe exponential growth economy, climbed voluntarily into the barber chair, took our haircut, and set out with a brand new, but nearly unthinkable concept; we would face harsh reality head on.
As it turns out, reality is far too ugly to face for most politicians. It makes them sick just thinking about the possibility of having to personally seek out gainful employment.
But then, the politicians don’t have much to worry about because we don’t live in reality, we live in America and drastic times call for strong medicine.
The good Dr. Greenspan was called in to administer the medication. The prescription called for slashing interest rates like department store prices on Black Friday. The patient (Middle America) is certainly going to overdose and will most likely die from the treatment program, but hopefully will remain on life support for four more years until after the presidential election that is coming up in November of 2008.
By June of 2003, Doctor Greenspan and his cohorts at the FED had cut the lending rate to 1%, a number not seen since 1958. The results? Not much; with the exception that inflation was up and running like a Cheetah on steroids. Specific actions create specific results.
As the limbo man says, “How low can you go.” With the Fed lending rate at 1%, there’s not a whole lot lower to go. We needed a new false bubble. What was left that could be readily inflated? Well…there was residential housing; why not?
I can give you about 1000 reasons why not, the first being that it is provably unsustainable. The second being that an inordinate percentage of one’s gross income going to a house payment creates a few voids in other sectors of the greater economy. Ah, but that was also covered, “For everything else, there’s Master Card and home equity loans.”
After all, with real inflation running higher than a cat’s back, wages would soon follow and life would be “all better.” Sure it would.
Ya see, that’s the part of the equation that didn’t work. That’s the part that isn’t reported, along with the fact that government created the monster. Wages were supposed to have climbed in lockstep with the purposely induced inflation; but they didn’t!
It’s supposed to be impossible in economics to have inflation driving rising prices skyward and at the same time for wages to remain stagnant. After all, a rising tide lifts all boats. And in the past, playing the inflation card had always worked. But in the past we didn’t have NAFTA and the WTO; consequently, we didn’t have China and India competing with slave wages for every American’s job. Thank you Mr. Clinton.
This economic thing that is supposed to be impossible is called Stagflation; wages stagnate and prices of essential goods inflate. It’s also called devaluation of the dollar and unemployment. If you don’t believe it’s possible, ask Jimmy Carter.
So here we are, all dressed up for the parade and the election remains more than 10 months away. Housing not only failed in the 3rd quarter, it seems to have drained all of the expendable income out of our economy; for 30 long years of mortgage payments.
The housing bubble was a purposeful act that was intended to raise a failed debt-based growth economy from the grave. And, it did for awhile. But, as my old dad used to say, “A fast horse don’t run long.” At least not long enough to dash in for a win on Election Day.
So, is there one more skinny old rabbit in this Administrations magic hat? You can bet your last stagflated dollar on it. [End 2007 article].
And of course there were a couple of skinny old rabbits left in the Bush Administrations magic hat; a tax rebate plan and a bank bailout plan, but like I predicted in 07, not enough to win an election for the Republicans.
Comrade Obama is a globalist of the greatest persuasion that this country has ever experienced. He is trotting around the planet promising the moon and stars to the Russians, Iranians, Africans, Europeans, and even the Pope.
In the mean time, America herself is drowning in debt and unemployment. The Comrade’s time is running out to blame King George Bush, which he continued to do as late as yesterday.
My hope is that both the Democrats and Republicans are washed up in America. Neither party is salvageable under any circumstances. That is, not salvageable should we wish to remain even quasi-free people.

Yup - only a viable 3rd party (Constitution Party?) can possibly save and regain the the freedoms historically enjoyed in the US. Even then, I fear it may be too late.
Pickdog,
I agree; it’s too late to return unscathed to our past freedoms. Leadership has been allowed to destroy the basis (low population, low debt, abundant resources) that allowed Americans to live as we have. Make no mistake, that is how we managed to spawn the world’s only true extensive Middle Class.
California continues to wonder at why they have fallen victim to become the first bankrupt state. Their leadership can’t comprehend that there are limits anymore than Washington can comprehend that our entire nation has limits.
I suppose when the largest Debtor nation in the world has to run around, hat in hand, looking for handouts, you quite naturally wind up being a “globalist of the greatest persuasion that this country has ever experienced”.. We’ve never borrowed this much money before..
wma…
Wma,
No doubt, our past and ongoing quest for continual growth in a finite environment has led us to this terrible collision with reality.
Your comment, “We’ve never borrowed this much money before,” is an exemplary example of the power of the exponential function.
“The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.” — Dr. Albert Bartlett
We are long past the point of being able to do anything about our predicament. Take reasonable precautions, but expect things to go poorly. That way you won’t spend your life being frustrated, disappointed and bitter.
There are too many possible scenarios to have contingency plans for even a fraction of them. Dmitry Orlov suggested “not planning accordingly”, but rather remaining flexible and keeping your sense of humor.
Keep in mind that we were never in control of our destiny in the first place, so nothing has changed. It is only a reassuring illusion that protects our delicate psyches.
Most of us have been extremely fortunate to have lived during a time when the human condition was very good. Now things are changing for the worse in many respects. We need to check our egos at the door as we exit the cheap energy bubble and quit taking responsibility for things we never had any meaningful control over. Do what you can and enjoy your life. The physical challenges may be significant; however, the mental ones will likely be much worse.
Greg,
Good advice. I once attended a seminar that suggested the, “Don’t plan ahead,” solution to many problems.
“Chainsaw Al” Dunlap said, “Show me a five year plan and I’ll show you a plan that won’t work.”
Julian Robertson (The Tiger Fund) said to expect for things to be bad (economically) for 10 to 15 years. That does not mean that life has to be bad for those accept the changes and make the best of what comes.
As far as illusions? “Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.” — Albert Einstein
“The greatest fine art of the future will be the making of a comfortable living on a small piece of land.”
- Abraham Lincoln
mickster,
I believe that much of our future can be witnessed in our past. Will we regress to the small farm days of Lincoln? Only time will tell as we’ve never been out of resources before.