Our Monetary System; Designed to Fail:
As we watch much of the world fall into deep financial trouble, the list of reasons given for the tumble is long and various. Some say it was the U.S. housing crash that brought down the world (which was always a preposterous claim) while others say it was lack of banking regulations. Still others point to credit default swaps and derivatives.
While the white collar crime (which is fully sanctioned by our government) hastened our trip to the end; for two provable reasons, the end would have come eventually regardless of the shenanigans of America’s most educated thieves. My friend Mark often says, “If there is a devil amongst us, he surely lives on Wall Street.”
The two provable reasons that I was referencing above are; exponential growth, and compounding interest, which in reality are one in the same.
I’m sure that you get tired of hearing the term “exponential” and so at times I change it to geometric, or ever greater, or never ending, to give you a break. But no matter how we state it, it’s still impossible in a world that stubbornly remains the same size.
On that accord, let’s focus on compounding interest. We’ll apply Mikeronomics to the problem to make it easy for me to understand.
Please try and envision the following: Literally TRILLIONS of dollars are loaned out at varying amounts of interest around the world. Therefore, every day, seven days a week, one of two things is happening. Either more money is being printed to pay that interest, or the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer.
As the interest is earned, the same is re-loaned to gain more…interest. The interest from the interest is then re-loaned to gain more interest on the interest that was gained on the interest. The interest on the interest that was derived from the previous interest on the interest is then re-loaned…well…you get the picture. Compounding interest is the perfect example of the exponential function. Like I said before, it’s impossible.
It is paramount for the money to be created each and every day to match the global phantom interest that was earned the day before. If not, eventually, citizens and states and nations would go into default; often referred to as bankruptcy. What we have here is a mathematical impasse.
Unless that is, the physical economy and the population could grow at the same exponential rate as the compounding interest; which is exactly what we have attempted to do by increasing population through both legal and illegal immigration with our eye on greater consumption.
Sure it worked when the world was new and sparsely populated. All sorts of new collateral could be produced by consuming the earth’s resources and expanding the human population. But long term, our systems of physical economic growth and that of manmade finance are incompatible with a landmass that is static in nature.
What I’m saying is that our monetary system is mathematically fatally flawed and always was.
Let me give you a real life example of exponential growth in a finite world that we can compare directly to our monetary system. The mighty Colorado River at one time flowed with such force as to carve the Grand Canyon, one of the seven natural wonders of the world. (The eight natural wonder is certain to be human stupidity).
Desert cities such as Phoenix, Arizona and the megalopolises’ of Southern California grew exponentially from the bounties of the waters flowing in the Colorado without ever considering physical limits.
There was of course a problem; the water in the Colorado River didn’t grow at the same rate. In fact it shrunk due to the evaporation effected by 100 degree temperatures on the massive surfaces of desert reservoirs such as Lake Mead, Lake Powell, and Lake Mojave.
Today, one can walk across the Colorado River in your tennis shoes at Yuma, Arizona where the Colorado passes into Mexico. There is no more water; after all, it was always finite in nature.
Yet, Phoenix, Tucson, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Las Vegas must all grow exponentially to survive under our present economic system.
Our monetary system is no different; if in fact our physical economy does not grow in an exponential manner, our current system of finance is doomed to fail; and it always was.

I look at our economy as being a muscle car with a large tank of gas and a large bottle of Nitrous-oxide. Well if you step on the gas and hit the nitrous you will really be scooting down the road approaching red-line and the physical limitations of the car and the road conditions. Sooner or later something bad is going to happen. It could be a deadly crash, it could be a blown engine, or you could just run out of fuel. No matter what the end result is the joy ride has limits.
Here’s a feedback loop that’s building momentum in 2010. Between 2010 and 2014, about $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans will come due. For nearly half of them, borrowers could struggle to get new financing because they’ll owe far more than the properties are worth.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100211/ap_on_bi_ge/us_bailout_watchdog
Add to that the Debt Bomb that is beginning to explode in the EU and Oh Oh!! 2010 or 2011 is going to make 2008 look like a rather calm walk in the park.
George,
In your example, the car was supposedly designed to go faster with each passing mile and to never run out of fuel. And like our monetary system, that is impossible.
I have stated for months that the next shoe to fall would be commercial real estate. The hope was of course that enough artificial stimulus would stem the tide of commercial foreclosures. So much for plan “A.”
I just heard a financial analyst use the phrase, “we can return to normal growth.” The point is that there is nothing “normal” about the level of growth that caused this mess to begin with.
M. King Hubbert challenged that growth is not the normal state of affairs and mathematically concluded that the exponential growth of the last two centuries is the opposite of the normal situation.
Who’d have ever thunk it?
This is only tangentially relevant, but take a look at this page: http://www.lexmark.ca/lexmark/product/type/home/0,6904,204812589_653293763_0_en,00.html
It’s Lexmark’s current line of colour laser printers; about twenty models in only one of several product categories from only one manufacturer among several major ones — HP, Canon, Okidata, Brother, Samsung, the list goes on.
All those machines will make a brief stop in some office on their way to a landfill. They quickly become uneconomical to repair once they get past their typical one-year warranty period, so all those printers will soon be out of production, replaced by a new generation of printers that will shortly follow the old ones to the land fill. And on and on it goes. The waste of resources is staggering, but the economic system must do it to keep operating. It can’t possibly go on forever.
Here’s a little article from the Financial Times that connects some of the dots from the Greek Debt Bomb as it will spread across Europe and jump across the pond to the U.S.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f90bca10-1679-11df-bf44-00144feab49a.html?nclick_check=1
Our uncontrolled economic and population growth is cancerous, it is pathological. Any system that grows wildly out of proportion to the host system will ultimately crash and die. The trouble for us is that ultimately doesn’t appear to be that far off.
I am continually amazed that most of the population can’t comprehend this simple fact. To me there is no longer any doubt, collectively, we humans are idiots.
Keep in mind that what crashes and dies is our economic system, along with the over population it enabled. Barring nuclear war, our species will probably continue on for many centuries; however, those who follow will not enjoy anything remotely approaching what we have and their numbers will be far fewer. The transition will not be pleasant.
It is not by accident that we have been programmed to want more and more. After WWII the nephew of Sigmund Freud, Edward Bernays came to America and created “Public Relations”, what in Germany had been termed “propaganda”.
He ushered in psychological selling methods and changed Americans from caring about quality, homegrown, and long-lasting to the insidious addiction of meeting our unconscious needs through consumerism.. He used our unmet desires to program us and movie stars as puppets to get us to fall into line - the party line that has now destroyed our wonderfully free and independent country.
For an in-depth look at his manipulations go to InformationLiberation.com and click on “The Century of Self” or follow the link below.
http://www.informationliberation.com/?id=8339
The destruction of our beloved country has not been accidental; we have been professionally lulled to sleep. I hope enough of us wake up in time to quit playing the consumer game and return to real American life.
Greg said, “Any system that grows wildly out of proportion to the host system will ultimately crash and die. The trouble for us is that ultimately doesn’t appear to be that far off.”
Our monetary system virtually insures a timely demise to our present way of life and yes, that may not be that far off.
Country Lady,
Yep, large marketing companies are nothing more than highly trained propagandists. Nearly all commercials and print adds are psychological brain twisters that suggest outright lies as the benefit of the subject product.
I have a 1905 Sears catalog that offers some of the most outlandish claims imaginable for patent medicine; all patently false!